Race 10A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Ehrnrooth 9.5% 12.7% 12.2% 11.2% 12.1% 11.8% 10.9% 9.4% 6.0% 3.9% 0.3%
Jake Weinstein 16.2% 14.1% 13.9% 12.9% 11.3% 10.3% 7.7% 7.4% 4.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Nithya Balachander 9.8% 9.2% 9.2% 11.5% 10.0% 10.5% 10.9% 12.4% 9.9% 5.8% 0.8%
Odey Hariri 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 8.6% 10.3% 13.6% 11.3% 13.0% 9.8% 2.9%
Greg Bittle 7.8% 7.6% 8.3% 7.1% 10.5% 9.4% 10.2% 11.9% 14.3% 10.1% 2.8%
Joe Serpa 12.8% 13.2% 10.9% 14.0% 10.9% 10.3% 9.1% 8.2% 6.6% 3.5% 0.5%
Charlie Herrick 18.0% 16.7% 13.6% 12.1% 10.5% 9.0% 9.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Joseph Gallagher 9.1% 8.3% 10.1% 10.3% 11.1% 10.6% 9.7% 10.4% 11.7% 7.4% 1.3%
Andrew Michels 6.6% 7.9% 9.4% 8.4% 9.1% 10.7% 10.8% 11.9% 12.1% 9.7% 3.4%
Jenna Kozal 2.5% 2.0% 3.8% 3.2% 4.4% 4.9% 5.9% 9.6% 11.7% 33.6% 18.4%
Carly Irwin 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 6.2% 12.7% 69.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.