Race 1B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rachel Bartel 15.4% 15.6% 13.6% 14.1% 10.1% 9.4% 10.4% 6.0% 4.8% 0.6%
Grace Bray 9.9% 7.5% 11.0% 11.1% 11.3% 12.2% 11.3% 12.0% 11.4% 2.3%
Lucas Rodenroth 8.7% 8.9% 8.9% 8.4% 10.6% 14.1% 13.4% 13.0% 10.4% 3.6%
Mary Castellini 19.0% 18.0% 16.2% 13.6% 12.5% 8.2% 6.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Justin Skene 13.8% 12.4% 14.2% 13.4% 12.1% 10.9% 10.7% 7.5% 3.7% 1.3%
Bryce Lesinski 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.3% 9.4% 10.8% 11.5% 14.3% 17.5% 8.2%
Brian Zettlemoyer 4.0% 5.2% 7.3% 6.7% 6.6% 10.0% 12.1% 17.6% 21.2% 9.3%
Max Zhalilo 12.0% 15.0% 10.4% 12.9% 13.4% 11.5% 9.2% 8.3% 6.2% 1.1%
Luciana Solorzano 9.3% 9.6% 9.9% 10.9% 11.4% 10.2% 12.5% 12.8% 10.6% 2.8%
Garrett Szlachta 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 4.3% 12.3% 70.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.