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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+3.36vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+2.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.80vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+2.22vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.70-0.86vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.92+0.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.22+4.00vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+0.45vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61+0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01-4.15vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.45-0.72vs Predicted
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12American University0.59+0.55vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.07-1.70vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.60-1.54vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.32-0.56vs Predicted
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16William and Mary1.29-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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6.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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4.14Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.17Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.45Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.71Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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10.28Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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12.55American University0.590.0%1st Place
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11.3Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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12.46Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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14.44William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.81William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 20.0% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 15.2% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Leigh Cramer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 14.8% |
| Natalie Ross | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 5.6% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
| Efe Brock | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 52.2% |
| Scott Guinn | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.