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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+6.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+3.94vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+3.59vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+3.17vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.68vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-2.32vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+1.58vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-0.13vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.04-5.02vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.99vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-1.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Dartmouth College1.606.4%1st Place
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5.94Boston College2.099.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University1.977.7%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University2.106.3%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.6%1st Place
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3.68Yale University2.4222.9%1st Place
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8.58Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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8.35Northeastern University1.225.4%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.9%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University0.932.7%1st Place
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5.98Brown University2.048.8%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College1.514.5%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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12.2Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
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12.38University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 22.9% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 7.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 19.8% | 35.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 19.8% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.