Race 2B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Bray 10.0% 10.4% 10.7% 9.5% 10.1% 11.0% 14.3% 11.0% 10.1% 2.9%
Lucas Rodenroth 8.7% 8.9% 9.8% 9.7% 9.6% 13.0% 11.9% 13.0% 11.6% 3.8%
Rachel Bartel 14.9% 13.4% 12.8% 14.1% 13.9% 11.4% 6.5% 7.8% 4.5% 0.7%
Justin Skene 13.9% 12.2% 14.4% 11.3% 13.5% 12.3% 9.3% 6.9% 5.3% 0.9%
Mary Castellini 19.2% 19.1% 15.0% 13.9% 11.8% 7.3% 6.9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Max Zhalilo 14.3% 11.6% 11.6% 12.9% 12.1% 10.1% 11.1% 8.9% 6.4% 1.0%
Luciana Solorzano 7.7% 9.7% 10.1% 11.6% 11.7% 11.6% 12.7% 12.0% 10.8% 2.1%
Brian Zettlemoyer 4.3% 6.5% 6.4% 7.6% 6.6% 9.6% 12.2% 15.6% 20.7% 10.5%
Garrett Szlachta 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 3.3% 3.6% 4.5% 11.6% 70.4%
Bryce Lesinski 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 8.2% 9.0% 10.4% 11.5% 15.5% 17.4% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.