Race 3B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Braden Vogel 34.0% 23.5% 14.4% 11.9% 8.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Rachel Bartel 10.9% 11.3% 14.3% 14.4% 11.7% 12.4% 10.4% 8.1% 5.8% 0.7%
Lucas Rodenroth 5.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.2% 10.2% 11.4% 15.5% 16.4% 11.9% 3.9%
Max Zhalilo 8.3% 10.4% 12.2% 13.6% 12.7% 12.6% 12.1% 9.8% 7.4% 0.9%
Mary Castellini 15.4% 14.7% 15.6% 15.3% 13.2% 10.0% 7.6% 5.3% 2.6% 0.3%
Bryce Lesinski 5.7% 5.3% 6.4% 8.0% 8.5% 10.2% 12.4% 15.3% 20.6% 7.6%
Grace Bray 5.7% 8.1% 9.5% 10.7% 11.6% 13.2% 14.0% 13.1% 10.5% 3.6%
Justin Skene 9.9% 14.0% 11.7% 10.6% 13.5% 13.1% 11.6% 9.0% 5.6% 1.0%
Brian Zettlemoyer 3.6% 4.4% 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 10.0% 11.7% 16.5% 24.1% 10.4%
Garrett Szlachta 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 2.9% 2.9% 2.7% 5.7% 11.0% 71.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.