Race 4B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Braden Vogel 35.3% 22.8% 14.0% 12.4% 7.9% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Rachel Bartel 11.5% 10.2% 15.4% 12.1% 13.7% 12.0% 11.3% 7.7% 4.7% 1.4%
Lucas Rodenroth 5.8% 8.7% 9.0% 6.7% 10.2% 13.8% 14.7% 14.7% 13.5% 2.9%
Grace Bray 5.3% 8.2% 9.6% 11.1% 11.3% 11.4% 15.7% 12.6% 12.3% 2.5%
Mary Castellini 15.0% 15.5% 14.6% 15.1% 13.8% 11.4% 6.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6%
Max Zhalilo 10.3% 10.4% 9.9% 13.8% 12.7% 10.9% 12.0% 11.4% 7.3% 1.3%
Justin Skene 8.3% 12.7% 13.0% 13.1% 13.0% 12.9% 10.7% 9.8% 5.5% 1.0%
Bryce Lesinski 4.3% 6.3% 7.5% 8.2% 7.1% 12.1% 13.2% 16.1% 18.3% 6.9%
Garrett Szlachta 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 1.3% 2.4% 3.3% 5.0% 11.4% 72.0%
Brian Zettlemoyer 3.4% 4.2% 6.0% 5.7% 9.0% 9.2% 10.2% 16.1% 24.8% 11.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.