Race 5B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gavin Dempsey 15.4% 17.6% 15.2% 15.5% 12.6% 10.4% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Timothy Hesse 14.8% 14.8% 13.7% 15.4% 12.1% 10.1% 8.7% 5.1% 4.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Braden Vogel 26.7% 22.6% 17.9% 12.7% 7.9% 6.1% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Justin Skene 8.3% 8.5% 9.8% 9.6% 12.1% 13.6% 13.8% 10.1% 8.8% 4.2% 1.2%
Grace Bray 6.0% 6.6% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 9.9% 11.4% 14.0% 11.4% 10.6% 2.5%
Bryce Lesinski 3.8% 4.1% 6.5% 5.7% 6.6% 9.7% 10.9% 14.1% 15.2% 16.9% 6.5%
Rachel Bartel 11.3% 11.1% 12.0% 12.4% 12.7% 12.7% 8.8% 9.1% 5.6% 3.4% 0.9%
Hayden Flaskerud 3.3% 3.3% 4.1% 5.2% 6.7% 8.3% 10.4% 12.6% 14.8% 22.2% 9.1%
Brian Zettlemoyer 3.1% 4.3% 4.2% 4.4% 6.7% 7.1% 9.1% 13.3% 16.9% 20.7% 10.2%
Lucas Rodenroth 6.7% 6.6% 7.4% 8.4% 10.8% 10.2% 11.9% 13.0% 13.5% 9.2% 2.3%
Garrett Szlachta 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 3.5% 3.4% 7.4% 11.4% 67.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.