← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.64+1.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Saint Thomas0.60+3.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame0.99+1.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.18-0.08vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University0.12+1.15vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University-0.26+1.10vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University0.50-1.86vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University0.07-1.79vs Predicted
-
9University of Chicago-0.56-1.25vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-0.48-2.59vs Predicted
-
11Grand Valley State University-2.03-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92University of Michigan1.640.3%1st Place
-
5.06University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.34University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
-
3.92University of Wisconsin1.180.2%1st Place
-
6.15Northwestern University0.120.1%1st Place
-
7.1Indiana University-0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.14Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
-
6.21Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
-
7.75University of Chicago-0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.41Marquette University-0.480.0%1st Place
-
10.01Grand Valley State University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Vogel | 27.3% | 22.5% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Hesse | 13.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 15.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 6.1% |
| Justin Skene | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 1.9% |
| Hayden Flaskerud | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 11.6% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 8.6% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.