Race 7B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Braden Vogel 28.7% 22.5% 18.5% 13.8% 9.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 5.8% 6.4% 8.0% 9.9% 12.2% 13.0% 14.5% 14.5% 10.9% 3.7% 1.1%
Sam Childers 6.1% 6.3% 7.8% 8.8% 11.8% 13.3% 14.9% 13.6% 12.7% 4.5% 0.2%
Bryce Lesinski 3.8% 4.8% 5.4% 7.1% 7.1% 10.1% 15.3% 17.5% 16.6% 10.6% 1.7%
Rachel Bartel 10.3% 11.8% 11.2% 15.3% 12.5% 13.6% 9.8% 7.9% 5.6% 2.0% 0.0%
Hayden Flaskerud 2.6% 3.3% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 9.6% 11.9% 16.3% 21.6% 13.5% 4.0%
Gavin Dempsey 20.6% 19.5% 17.9% 12.0% 12.6% 9.2% 4.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Timothy Hesse 15.9% 16.9% 17.0% 14.7% 11.8% 10.3% 7.0% 3.9% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Grace Bray 5.2% 7.4% 7.7% 11.0% 11.8% 12.0% 13.6% 14.1% 11.8% 4.5% 0.9%
Garrett Szlachta 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 6.1% 9.9% 36.8% 34.7%
John Riordan 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.6% 1.7% 3.1% 3.5% 7.1% 23.9% 57.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.