Race 8B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grace Bray 4.5% 7.0% 8.8% 10.3% 11.3% 14.1% 14.7% 13.8% 10.8% 4.2% 0.5%
Gavin Dempsey 18.9% 17.2% 18.1% 14.9% 12.4% 9.1% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 5.9% 5.9% 7.7% 9.5% 10.0% 13.6% 12.7% 15.4% 13.6% 5.2% 0.5%
Bryce Lesinski 3.7% 4.8% 5.3% 7.8% 7.3% 10.5% 13.9% 18.3% 15.7% 10.7% 2.0%
Braden Vogel 29.6% 25.2% 15.5% 11.0% 9.2% 5.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Rachel Bartel 9.3% 11.1% 12.8% 15.0% 12.3% 13.4% 10.3% 9.0% 5.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Hayden Flaskerud 4.7% 3.5% 4.4% 6.3% 7.9% 9.7% 12.0% 13.5% 21.9% 13.4% 2.7%
Timothy Hesse 15.7% 17.2% 16.8% 14.2% 13.2% 9.5% 7.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Sam Childers 6.4% 7.2% 8.9% 8.9% 13.1% 10.8% 14.7% 13.8% 10.6% 4.2% 1.4%
Garrett Szlachta 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 2.2% 4.0% 5.1% 11.5% 36.0% 35.0%
John Riordan 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% 2.3% 3.5% 7.1% 24.3% 57.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.