Race 9B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Braden Vogel 27.3% 25.2% 15.3% 14.3% 9.5% 5.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Rachel Bartel 10.1% 9.9% 11.2% 13.5% 15.0% 13.3% 11.9% 8.1% 5.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Gavin Dempsey 16.1% 16.2% 18.5% 15.1% 12.7% 9.1% 6.1% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Bray 5.5% 6.7% 6.7% 9.2% 9.9% 13.5% 15.2% 14.5% 12.8% 5.0% 1.0%
Timothy Hesse 15.7% 16.3% 14.5% 12.2% 13.9% 11.0% 8.2% 5.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 5.4% 6.2% 8.3% 8.9% 10.1% 13.7% 13.1% 14.2% 13.5% 5.1% 1.5%
Bryce Lesinski 5.3% 4.6% 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 11.5% 14.4% 16.1% 18.1% 8.2% 1.6%
Justin Skene 9.9% 10.1% 12.4% 12.4% 12.7% 11.4% 12.2% 10.0% 7.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Garrett Szlachta 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 5.8% 7.9% 38.2% 36.7%
Hayden Flaskerud 3.5% 3.7% 4.5% 5.9% 6.4% 7.4% 12.0% 16.4% 24.6% 12.6% 3.0%
John Riordan 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 3.8% 6.2% 27.7% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.