Race 10B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Bartel 8.0% 10.9% 12.4% 12.1% 14.9% 13.8% 12.1% 9.7% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Braden Vogel 29.0% 23.4% 19.0% 11.7% 7.9% 5.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Timothy Hesse 13.3% 14.8% 14.8% 16.1% 12.5% 11.7% 8.6% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Bryce Lesinski 3.5% 4.4% 5.7% 5.9% 7.5% 10.1% 13.2% 17.7% 19.2% 11.1% 1.7%
Gavin Dempsey 18.3% 18.4% 17.1% 14.1% 10.8% 9.7% 6.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Justin Skene 9.3% 10.1% 11.3% 12.2% 12.3% 12.6% 12.6% 11.3% 6.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Grace Bray 7.0% 8.2% 7.2% 11.8% 11.8% 12.2% 12.6% 12.8% 11.6% 4.3% 0.5%
Hayden Flaskerud 4.0% 2.9% 4.3% 5.1% 8.1% 8.6% 13.1% 14.0% 23.1% 13.6% 3.2%
Lucas Rodenroth 6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 9.2% 11.3% 12.0% 13.0% 15.2% 14.3% 4.5% 1.6%
Garrett Szlachta 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 3.6% 5.4% 11.1% 37.1% 34.9%
John Riordan 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.5% 6.1% 25.6% 57.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.