Race 3A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emil Tullberg 12.9% 10.5% 13.2% 12.5% 10.2% 10.7% 11.7% 9.2% 7.1% 2.0%
Bryce Vitiello 13.0% 14.6% 12.9% 11.9% 12.6% 12.8% 8.9% 7.0% 5.0% 1.3%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 23.4% 19.4% 17.4% 13.2% 10.6% 7.9% 4.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Henri Richardsson 12.9% 13.7% 13.5% 12.8% 13.3% 9.6% 11.2% 6.8% 4.5% 1.7%
James Jagielski 10.8% 9.8% 10.8% 10.5% 12.8% 13.0% 12.8% 9.2% 7.8% 2.5%
Kai Latham 2.8% 3.9% 2.4% 3.4% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 11.7% 16.7% 42.9%
Sam Harris 7.0% 9.8% 9.0% 11.3% 11.3% 13.7% 12.2% 11.6% 9.6% 4.5%
Cameron Frary 4.2% 5.8% 7.2% 7.7% 7.1% 8.9% 10.9% 16.6% 18.3% 13.3%
Walter Chiles 10.0% 9.4% 9.5% 11.8% 12.2% 10.5% 12.7% 12.6% 7.7% 3.6%
Ryan Treat 3.0% 3.1% 4.1% 4.9% 5.9% 7.5% 8.5% 12.4% 22.5% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.