Race 4A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 25.2% 22.4% 15.4% 11.4% 9.4% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Emil Tullberg 10.6% 11.9% 11.4% 12.7% 11.7% 13.0% 10.6% 8.6% 7.1% 2.4%
Bryce Vitiello 13.3% 13.0% 13.1% 13.0% 13.7% 11.0% 10.5% 7.4% 3.8% 1.2%
Walter Chiles 8.1% 9.6% 10.8% 12.1% 12.8% 11.4% 11.8% 11.8% 7.9% 3.7%
Henri Richardsson 14.5% 12.7% 12.8% 12.0% 13.3% 11.5% 9.8% 8.2% 3.9% 1.3%
Kai Latham 2.9% 3.3% 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 5.0% 7.8% 10.8% 17.0% 43.3%
Ryan Treat 2.8% 2.6% 4.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.8% 8.6% 14.3% 23.0% 26.7%
Cameron Frary 4.6% 4.9% 8.1% 7.5% 7.5% 9.1% 10.7% 15.7% 18.0% 13.9%
Sam Harris 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 12.2% 10.8% 11.8% 13.3% 12.1% 9.6% 4.0%
James Jagielski 9.3% 10.8% 12.7% 10.6% 11.2% 12.4% 12.4% 9.2% 8.5% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.