Race 5A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 26.5% 21.6% 14.4% 12.3% 8.8% 7.1% 4.6% 3.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 10.3% 11.1% 13.6% 12.1% 11.8% 11.4% 11.6% 8.7% 7.4% 2.0%
Walter Chiles 9.5% 8.4% 10.6% 9.4% 11.9% 13.1% 13.7% 11.7% 8.1% 3.6%
Bryce Vitiello 12.5% 14.0% 14.2% 14.1% 13.2% 11.3% 8.9% 6.3% 4.4% 1.1%
Sam Harris 9.7% 8.3% 8.7% 11.0% 10.4% 12.1% 13.3% 12.7% 8.7% 5.1%
James Jagielski 10.7% 10.5% 10.0% 12.5% 13.9% 10.5% 10.4% 11.9% 6.4% 3.2%
Henri Richardsson 10.9% 14.3% 14.7% 13.3% 12.1% 11.2% 11.3% 6.1% 4.3% 1.8%
Kai Latham 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 3.8% 6.5% 7.3% 11.1% 17.1% 42.2%
Cameron Frary 4.9% 6.0% 5.8% 6.6% 8.2% 9.6% 10.5% 17.2% 18.0% 13.2%
Ryan Treat 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 7.2% 8.4% 11.3% 24.1% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.