Race 6A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emil Tullberg 12.0% 12.0% 12.8% 11.9% 11.2% 10.4% 12.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 24.9% 19.9% 15.4% 13.0% 11.4% 6.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Walter Chiles 9.1% 10.2% 9.0% 9.1% 10.7% 14.3% 13.1% 12.2% 8.7% 3.6%
Sam Harris 7.6% 8.6% 10.6% 11.7% 9.0% 13.9% 13.4% 11.4% 9.6% 4.2%
Henri Richardsson 12.7% 12.1% 15.2% 12.7% 13.4% 11.3% 9.0% 7.0% 5.1% 1.5%
James Jagielski 11.3% 10.3% 10.0% 12.5% 12.8% 10.1% 11.6% 10.2% 8.3% 2.9%
Bryce Vitiello 12.2% 15.3% 14.2% 13.2% 12.5% 11.3% 8.7% 7.6% 3.6% 1.4%
Cameron Frary 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 7.5% 7.9% 9.7% 12.0% 15.4% 17.1% 14.0%
Kai Latham 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 3.5% 4.4% 5.4% 7.2% 10.6% 19.8% 41.4%
Ryan Treat 3.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 6.7% 6.7% 8.3% 12.9% 21.4% 28.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.