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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.38+2.22vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.77+2.54vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+1.48vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+2.04vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.82-2.63vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.19-1.38vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.97vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.62-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Vermont1.380.3%1st Place
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4.54Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.91Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.48University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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5.23Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.37Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.62Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.03Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 26.7% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Sam Harris | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Kai Latham | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 42.3% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 13.2% |
| James Jagielski | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 23.5% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.