Race 8A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 25.4% 20.0% 16.9% 12.1% 9.8% 7.2% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.6%
Bryce Vitiello 13.2% 14.9% 13.3% 13.2% 11.7% 11.8% 7.2% 8.7% 4.9% 1.1%
Henri Richardsson 12.7% 11.7% 12.4% 13.7% 12.8% 12.9% 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7%
Emil Tullberg 10.4% 11.0% 12.7% 13.5% 13.5% 11.0% 10.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.6%
Walter Chiles 10.4% 9.0% 9.7% 10.4% 12.4% 13.2% 12.5% 9.5% 9.7% 3.2%
Kai Latham 3.1% 3.3% 3.4% 2.5% 5.2% 3.7% 7.3% 10.8% 19.4% 41.3%
Cameron Frary 3.8% 5.6% 6.0% 7.0% 7.3% 9.9% 14.5% 14.5% 17.6% 13.8%
Sam Harris 7.6% 10.3% 10.8% 9.6% 11.8% 10.7% 14.1% 10.8% 9.4% 4.9%
James Jagielski 10.4% 10.5% 10.4% 13.4% 10.8% 11.3% 11.5% 12.0% 6.6% 3.1%
Ryan Treat 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 8.3% 9.4% 12.7% 21.5% 27.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.