Race 9A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 25.9% 20.5% 15.7% 11.9% 10.7% 6.4% 4.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Henri Richardsson 12.9% 12.0% 14.4% 13.7% 10.6% 12.9% 8.6% 8.4% 5.5% 1.0%
Emil Tullberg 11.6% 9.7% 10.9% 13.0% 13.0% 12.1% 12.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.0%
Walter Chiles 7.9% 9.8% 11.6% 10.6% 12.7% 13.1% 11.4% 10.8% 8.1% 4.0%
Cameron Frary 5.4% 6.7% 6.1% 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 11.6% 16.4% 17.8% 13.4%
James Jagielski 10.9% 10.0% 10.5% 12.2% 11.4% 13.1% 11.4% 9.9% 7.9% 2.7%
Kai Latham 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 3.7% 4.1% 6.2% 7.5% 10.7% 19.8% 41.8%
Bryce Vitiello 12.2% 17.1% 13.1% 12.5% 13.1% 10.3% 10.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.3%
Sam Harris 8.4% 8.7% 10.3% 11.5% 10.6% 11.2% 13.2% 11.7% 9.8% 4.6%
Ryan Treat 3.0% 3.4% 5.1% 3.9% 6.3% 6.6% 9.9% 13.6% 19.4% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.