Race 10A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 25.8% 20.8% 15.1% 12.3% 10.2% 6.8% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Walter Chiles 9.6% 7.3% 13.1% 9.9% 11.5% 12.4% 11.9% 11.8% 8.7% 3.8%
Emil Tullberg 10.3% 11.4% 10.2% 12.2% 13.3% 12.5% 11.4% 10.6% 5.8% 2.3%
Bryce Vitiello 12.9% 13.5% 14.8% 14.3% 12.5% 10.4% 8.8% 7.7% 4.3% 0.8%
James Jagielski 10.9% 10.0% 10.8% 11.6% 11.2% 12.8% 12.0% 11.1% 6.7% 2.9%
Ryan Treat 4.3% 3.7% 3.9% 4.0% 5.8% 7.2% 9.3% 12.4% 22.1% 27.3%
Henri Richardsson 11.4% 13.6% 13.8% 14.1% 13.4% 11.3% 11.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.7%
Sam Harris 8.1% 11.2% 8.9% 9.5% 11.4% 12.4% 11.2% 12.7% 9.5% 5.1%
Cameron Frary 4.6% 6.3% 5.7% 8.9% 6.8% 8.5% 12.1% 15.3% 19.3% 12.5%
Kai Latham 2.1% 2.2% 3.7% 3.2% 3.9% 5.7% 8.0% 9.3% 18.6% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.