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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.40vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+3.32vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-0.01vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.23+3.02vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.84+3.80vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+2.56vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.52+0.95vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.87+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-0.89+0.25vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-3.70vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-1.94vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.87-2.96vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-1.87-0.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.07+0.88vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.47-4.09vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.84-1.52vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.32Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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2.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.3%1st Place
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7.02SUNY Maritime College-0.230.1%1st Place
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8.8Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.56Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.95Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.83Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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9.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.04Princeton University-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.13Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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14.88U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
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10.91Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
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14.48University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
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15.09Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 34.0% | 28.4% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 26.0% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Finora | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Julia Gordon | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 25.0% | 33.4% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 19.0% | 24.1% | 24.1% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 15.5% | 25.5% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.