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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology1.99+2.54vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.90+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.14-0.92vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.64+0.08vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.92-2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.49-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Florida Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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2.38Eckerd College2.900.3%1st Place
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2.08University of South Florida3.140.4%1st Place
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5.08Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
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3.73Rollins College1.920.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Miami1.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Harris | 10.6% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 9.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 32.2% | 26.4% | 21.3% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| David Harrison | 38.7% | 30.4% | 18.4% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Michael Todd | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 55.4% |
| Tristan Jackson | 9.3% | 13.1% | 21.0% | 21.8% | 21.8% | 13.0% |
| Nicole Popp | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 29.3% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.