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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+7.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19+3.49vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+3.85vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+8.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.85+4.28vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+3.18vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+1.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.36+1.89vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+1.86vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86-0.90vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.42-7.00vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.01-0.42vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.57vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-0.49vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.52-2.11vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.96vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.26-7.26vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College1.45-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Cornell University1.796.0%1st Place
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5.49Stanford University2.1913.6%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.178.0%1st Place
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12.12George Washington University1.072.6%1st Place
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9.28Brown University1.855.1%1st Place
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9.18Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College1.846.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston College1.363.7%1st Place
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10.86Northeastern University1.183.2%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University1.864.7%1st Place
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4.0Yale University2.4220.4%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University1.012.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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13.51Roger Williams University0.490.9%1st Place
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12.89University of South Florida0.522.2%1st Place
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12.04University of Pennsylvania1.162.6%1st Place
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9.74College of Charleston1.263.8%1st Place
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9.92Dartmouth College1.454.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.4% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 22.9% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 19.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.