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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+4.49vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+4.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+1.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42-1.44vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+2.01vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.48vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.09-4.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-2.58vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.60-5.62vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.3%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University2.106.5%1st Place
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5.95Brown University2.049.6%1st Place
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3.56Yale University2.4222.4%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College1.515.1%1st Place
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8.16Northeastern University1.224.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.2%1st Place
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5.84Boston College2.099.4%1st Place
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8.48Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College1.606.5%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College0.521.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 22.4% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.