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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+2.75vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.54+1.44vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.70+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01+0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy1.22+5.02vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+1.60vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-1.96vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.92-2.99vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.61-0.15vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.45-0.76vs Predicted
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12American University0.59+0.52vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.07-1.71vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.32+0.31vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.60-2.36vs Predicted
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16William and Mary1.29-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.13Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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5.84University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.6Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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6.01Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.85Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.24Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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12.52American University0.590.0%1st Place
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11.29Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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14.31William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.64Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.82William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 18.9% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 14.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Don Hause III | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Douglas Zangre | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Leigh Cramer | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 16.1% |
| Natalie Ross | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
| Efe Brock | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 48.9% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| Scott Guinn | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.