← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.77+1.39vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.34+3.27vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College-0.23+3.97vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester-0.89+5.13vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-2.00vs Predicted
-
6Washington College-0.87+3.17vs Predicted
-
7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+1.38vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University-0.52-0.20vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.12vs Predicted
-
10Villanova University-1.87+2.08vs Predicted
-
11Rutgers University-0.84-1.94vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Military Academy-3.07+2.85vs Predicted
-
13University of Pittsburgh-2.84+1.43vs Predicted
-
14Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15+1.03vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University-1.47-4.12vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University-0.87-6.94vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-10.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
-
5.27Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
-
6.97SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.13University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
-
3.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.2%1st Place
-
9.17Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.38Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
-
7.8Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
-
12.08Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
9.06Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
14.85U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
-
14.43University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
-
15.03Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
-
10.88Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
-
9.06Princeton University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
6.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 35.2% | 27.3% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.9% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Henry Haddon | 24.9% | 25.8% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Julia Gordon | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 26.7% | 30.9% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 17.7% | 26.5% | 25.0% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 15.8% | 23.1% | 37.4% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Finora | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.