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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+1.89vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.38vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+5.21vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34+1.28vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.87+3.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+0.31vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.89+0.74vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.870.00vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.24-0.11vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.87+0.84vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.52-4.30vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-4.17vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.84+0.34vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.05-2.68vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-1.07vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-3.07-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.3%1st Place
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2.38Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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8.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.28Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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8.7Princeton University-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.0Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.89Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.84Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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7.7Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
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12.32Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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14.93Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
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14.76U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Haddon | 25.2% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 35.3% | 28.2% | 18.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Finora | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Randle | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 23.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 5.4% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 22.0% | 35.5% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.