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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.71vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+1.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+0.07vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.23+3.36vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34+0.65vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+2.83vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.87+2.29vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.84+1.06vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.52-0.67vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-0.78vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.89-1.52vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.87-2.69vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.24-2.50vs Predicted
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14Villanova University-1.87-1.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.07-0.17vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.84-1.42vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.2%1st Place
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3.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.2%1st Place
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7.36SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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5.65Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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8.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.29Princeton University-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.06Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.33Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.31Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.5Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.34Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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14.83U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
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15.12Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 28.3% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 20.3% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 23.1% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Julia Gordon | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 4.4% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 15.1% | 25.7% | 32.9% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 20.4% | 24.8% | 24.1% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 24.5% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.