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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+1.08vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.23+4.37vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+4.65vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34+0.68vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.52+2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89+2.37vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.84+1.03vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.87+0.41vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-6.64vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-1.69vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.87-2.71vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.24-2.51vs Predicted
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14Villanova University-1.87-1.64vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.07-0.18vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.84-1.45vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.2%1st Place
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7.37SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.65Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.68Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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8.39Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.03Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.41Princeton University-0.870.0%1st Place
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3.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.2%1st Place
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9.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.29Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.49Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.36Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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14.82U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
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14.55University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
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15.14Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 29.2% | 23.9% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 22.8% | 21.9% | 20.6% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Henry Haddon | 20.2% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Julia Gordon | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 4.4% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 25.9% | 32.9% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 19.5% | 24.8% | 23.9% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 24.6% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.