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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.49vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+1.09vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.59+4.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-1.13vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.54vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.52+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89+1.40vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.87-0.81vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.47-0.10vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-2.74vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-2.05-0.60vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-5.24vs Predicted
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14Villanova University-1.87-2.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.07-1.28vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.84-2.60vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.2%1st Place
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7.51Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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2.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.2%1st Place
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6.54SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.41Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.19Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.9Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.4Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.76Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.06Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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13.72U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
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14.0Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 32.1% | 25.1% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 23.4% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 24.2% | 22.8% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gordon | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 16.5% | 23.1% | 30.0% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 23.4% | 24.2% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 23.1% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.