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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.23+5.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+0.83vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77-1.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-1.91vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89+1.46vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.59-0.42vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.52-1.81vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.87-1.80vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-2.73vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-2.05-0.57vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.47-3.01vs Predicted
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14Villanova University-1.87-2.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.07-1.26vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.84-2.58vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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2.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.3%1st Place
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2.57Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.2%1st Place
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7.78Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.58Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.19Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.2Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.43Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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9.99Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.05Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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13.74U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
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13.99Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 26.4% | 24.4% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 30.8% | 26.2% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 21.8% | 19.4% | 23.5% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Berkley Yiu | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 5.3% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Julia Gordon | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 22.2% | 29.9% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 22.8% | 24.4% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 23.6% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.