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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.23+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.89+6.05vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-1.20vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-2.00vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.59+1.42vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.87+0.12vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-2.05+2.23vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-2.50vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.87-0.07vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.78-1.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-3.07+0.63vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.52-6.89vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.47-5.31vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.84-2.71vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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2.53Hampton University1.770.3%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.2%1st Place
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3.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.2%1st Place
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7.42Princeton University-0.590.0%1st Place
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8.12Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.23Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.93Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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10.56SUNY Stony Brook-1.780.0%1st Place
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13.63U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
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7.11Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.69Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
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13.89Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lunati | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 31.0% | 25.8% | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 23.9% | 26.5% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 23.5% | 20.9% | 21.8% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Margaret Myers-Aldous | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 21.5% | 32.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 23.4% | 22.4% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 23.6% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.