Race 10A

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Valerio Palamara 32.2% 27.5% 19.4% 11.3% 5.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lars Osell 27.0% 22.1% 22.0% 14.2% 7.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Lunati 3.8% 5.0% 6.5% 11.9% 13.1% 12.3% 13.7% 11.9% 8.3% 6.3% 4.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Abby Eckert 1.3% 2.8% 4.8% 6.2% 7.0% 9.2% 9.1% 8.4% 11.4% 12.4% 9.5% 8.2% 6.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Henry Haddon 19.6% 24.5% 21.3% 15.1% 10.7% 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.5% 2.2% 4.8% 9.7% 11.7% 12.9% 10.7% 10.3% 9.8% 9.1% 6.0% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Marlon Wool 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 4.7% 4.4% 6.0% 6.6% 9.7% 10.1% 16.3% 14.2% 12.6% 4.0%
Julia Gordon 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 4.2% 6.2% 6.1% 7.1% 8.5% 9.8% 12.5% 14.6% 11.5% 8.5% 2.5%
Kayla Maguire 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 6.1% 9.9% 11.0% 12.4% 11.9% 9.8% 8.2% 7.1% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Berkley Yiu 2.7% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 7.6% 12.3% 12.0% 13.1% 11.9% 7.9% 6.6% 5.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 5.9% 8.8% 8.8% 9.0% 11.1% 9.1% 13.2% 9.9% 7.4% 3.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Margaret Myers-Aldous 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.6% 4.5% 7.0% 8.1% 8.5% 10.2% 13.8% 11.9% 11.5% 7.2% 3.0%
Charlotte Shaw 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 3.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 9.2% 10.6% 9.5% 12.6% 9.9% 9.7% 8.2% 3.2% 1.3%
Raymond Shattuck 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 5.6% 6.5% 8.0% 15.7% 23.2% 28.9%
Aiden Zurcher 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 5.1% 8.3% 10.6% 16.3% 21.2% 23.8%
Tristan Feves 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 3.6% 3.9% 5.6% 8.7% 13.3% 21.0% 35.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.