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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+2.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+2.71vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+3.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.89+3.41vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.59+1.56vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.52-0.64vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.58vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.84-1.74vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-2.74vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.87-0.61vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.87-4.60vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.24-4.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.07-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of Pittsburgh-2.84-2.49vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Hampton University0.610.3%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.69Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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6.56Princeton University-0.590.1%1st Place
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6.36Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.42SUNY Maritime College-0.230.1%1st Place
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7.26Rutgers University-0.840.1%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.1%1st Place
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10.39Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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7.4Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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8.67Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Pittsburgh-2.840.0%1st Place
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13.03Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 26.7% | 20.8% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Abby Eckert | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Berkley Yiu | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 4.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 26.9% | 33.7% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 19.2% | 25.4% | 23.2% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 16.2% | 23.7% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.