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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+1.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+3.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.33+1.84vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+1.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+0.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.69-0.11vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.60-3.58vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.75vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-0.79vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Boston College2.0910.4%1st Place
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3.47Yale University2.4223.4%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.107.0%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.9%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.2%1st Place
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7.84Brown University1.336.2%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College1.515.2%1st Place
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8.41Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University1.978.0%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University0.693.0%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College1.606.5%1st Place
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8.25Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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12.21University of Vermont-0.131.3%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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12.26Connecticut College0.521.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 23.4% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 34.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 19.9% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.