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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.01+4.70vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+2.43vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.70+1.12vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+0.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.83-1.18vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.92+0.11vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-0.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy1.22+2.83vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.45+1.17vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.07+1.38vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-1.20vs Predicted
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12American University0.59+0.59vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-4.50vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.60-1.55vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.29-4.16vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.32-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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4.12Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.61Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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6.11Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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10.17Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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11.38Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.8Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.59American University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.5Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.45Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.84William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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14.46William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stessing | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 17.8% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Douglas Zangre | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Natalie Ross | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Leigh Cramer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 16.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 14.3% |
| Scott Guinn | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Efe Brock | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 18.5% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.