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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.16vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.10-0.06vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.93+4.01vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.38+1.34vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.78+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-2.36+4.78vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50+6.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.78vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.74vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.80-0.74vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-4.51vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.19-4.43vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.08-3.06vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.60-2.58vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-3.77-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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2.94SUNY Maritime College1.100.3%1st Place
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8.01Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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6.34Washington College-0.380.1%1st Place
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7.51Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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14.03Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.26Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.49Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.57Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.94Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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12.42Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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14.55U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 20.3% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 22.8% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 26.7% | 22.7% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tis | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 5.2% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 25.5% | 35.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Ashley Franklin | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 8.8% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 25.8% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.