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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.47vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.00vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.15vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.38+2.43vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.93+2.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+1.34vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.78+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-2.36+3.66vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.79vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-2.50vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.80-0.72vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.08-0.91vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.19-4.43vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.60-1.78vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50-0.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-3.77-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.0SUNY Maritime College1.100.3%1st Place
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3.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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6.43Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.88Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.47Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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7.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.28Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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11.09Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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8.57Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.22Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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14.17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
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14.57U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 20.3% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 26.1% | 22.5% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 23.3% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 4.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 7.9% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 29.0% | 34.9% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 23.2% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.