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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.88vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+1.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+3.11vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.93+2.65vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50+8.65vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.08+4.04vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-0.83vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-1.80+1.38vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.78-2.84vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.67-1.03vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-4.93vs Predicted
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13Washington College-2.04-2.01vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-1.19-5.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-2.36-3.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-3.77-0.92vs Predicted
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17University of Pittsburgh-3.75-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88SUNY Maritime College1.100.3%1st Place
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3.4Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.65Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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14.65Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
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11.04Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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10.38Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.16Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.97Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.99Washington College-2.040.0%1st Place
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8.55Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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15.08U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Pittsburgh-3.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Kuzloski | 26.1% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 20.0% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 23.9% | 21.7% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 26.3% | 25.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Wood | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 34.9% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.