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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+2.02vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+1.41vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.93+4.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+3.02vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.10-2.13vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.67+4.04vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50+7.43vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.78-0.88vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.85vs Predicted
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10Washington College-2.04+0.96vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-3.61vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.19-3.56vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-1.80-2.67vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-2.36-2.06vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-2.08-3.90vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-3.77-0.90vs Predicted
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17University of Pittsburgh-3.75-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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3.41Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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7.65Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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2.87SUNY Maritime College1.100.3%1st Place
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10.04Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.43Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
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7.12Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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7.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.96Washington College-2.040.0%1st Place
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7.39Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.44Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.33Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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11.1Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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15.1U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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15.04University of Pittsburgh-3.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 22.2% | 24.2% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 20.0% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 28.4% | 23.6% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 19.8% | 25.6% | 22.6% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Wood | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Julia Priebke | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 24.6% | 36.4% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 25.9% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.