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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.34vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.10+0.36vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.39vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80+2.77vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.38+0.88vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.93+1.28vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.78-0.26vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.23vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.19-1.08vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50+3.56vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.80-1.35vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-2.36-0.91vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.77+1.07vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.60-2.34vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-2.08-4.57vs Predicted
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17University of Pittsburgh-3.75-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.2%1st Place
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3.36SUNY Maritime College1.100.2%1st Place
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3.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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7.77Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.88Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.28Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.74Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.92Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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14.56Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
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10.65Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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15.07U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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12.66Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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11.43Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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15.06University of Pittsburgh-3.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 17.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 21.3% | 20.3% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 19.1% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 19.3% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 24.5% | 23.1% |
| Julia Priebke | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 25.3% | 32.8% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.