← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University0.81+2.83vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.34vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College1.10+0.37vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.40vs Predicted
-
5Washington College-0.38+1.64vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-1.19+3.06vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50+7.51vs Predicted
-
8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-0.26vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.25vs Predicted
-
10University of Rochester-2.36+2.08vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-0.78-3.11vs Predicted
-
12Villanova University-1.80-1.35vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Military Academy-3.77+2.06vs Predicted
-
14Rutgers University-2.60-1.27vs Predicted
-
15Monmouth University-2.08-3.69vs Predicted
-
16University of Pittsburgh-3.75-0.93vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-0.93-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.83Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
-
3.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.2%1st Place
-
3.37SUNY Maritime College1.100.2%1st Place
-
3.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
-
6.64Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
-
9.06Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
-
14.51Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
-
7.74Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
-
12.08University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.89Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
10.65Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
15.06U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
-
12.73Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
-
11.31Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
-
15.07University of Pittsburgh-3.750.0%1st Place
-
8.36Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 17.0% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 20.7% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 19.1% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 19.8% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 20.7% | 24.5% | 21.9% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 24.4% | 35.5% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 33.9% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.