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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+2.25vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+1.84vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.10+0.27vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.15+2.03vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.73+2.42vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.67+4.18vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-2.36+4.82vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.69vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.19-0.18vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-0.79vs Predicted
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11Washington College-2.04+0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-3.75+2.95vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-2.08-1.87vs Predicted
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14Villanova University-2.24-2.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.77-0.06vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-12.56vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.2%1st Place
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3.84Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.27SUNY Maritime College1.100.2%1st Place
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6.03Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.42Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.18Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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7.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.82Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.21Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.14Washington College-2.040.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Pittsburgh-3.750.0%1st Place
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11.13Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.67Villanova University-2.240.0%1st Place
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14.94U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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3.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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14.58Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 21.8% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 16.7% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 20.6% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kristen McDonough | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| George Wood | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 24.4% | 33.9% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Sam Randall | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 23.5% | 34.5% |
| Mats Braaten | 18.0% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 26.8% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.