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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.81vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.29vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.46vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+3.39vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.15+0.91vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.73+1.56vs Predicted
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7Washington College-2.04+4.06vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67+1.88vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.19-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.36+1.88vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-3.75+2.98vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-2.24-1.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.77+1.04vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-2.08-3.90vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50-1.45vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-13.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.29SUNY Maritime College1.100.2%1st Place
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3.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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7.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.91Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.56Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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11.06Washington College-2.040.0%1st Place
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9.88Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.76Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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9.34Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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14.98University of Pittsburgh-3.750.0%1st Place
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11.61Villanova University-2.240.0%1st Place
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15.04U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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11.1Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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14.55Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
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3.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 16.1% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 21.7% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 19.4% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Wood | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Kristen McDonough | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 27.4% | 32.4% |
| Sam Randall | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 36.8% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 19.6% | 24.8% | 22.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 20.6% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.