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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.10+2.26vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+1.86vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.73+4.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.51vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+2.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-2.37vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.15-0.83vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37+1.13vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.38-2.16vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.19-1.23vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.80+1.92vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-2.36-0.19vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-2.24-1.48vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.60-1.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.77-0.20vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-3.75-1.11vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26SUNY Maritime College1.100.2%1st Place
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3.86Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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7.59Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.2%1st Place
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7.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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6.17Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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9.13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.84Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.77Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.92Monmouth University-2.800.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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11.52Villanova University-2.240.0%1st Place
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12.48Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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14.8U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Pittsburgh-3.750.0%1st Place
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14.42Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Kuzloski | 23.2% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 16.6% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 20.7% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 17.2% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristen McDonough | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Sam Randall | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 31.9% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 31.1% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.