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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.84vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.73+5.54vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.10+0.34vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.36vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.15+0.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.46vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.38-0.27vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.56vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-2.60+3.50vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-2.36+0.83vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.19-3.24vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-2.24-1.51vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.80-1.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.77-0.18vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-3.75-1.11vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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7.54Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.34SUNY Maritime College1.100.2%1st Place
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3.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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5.96Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.2%1st Place
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6.73Washington College-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.5Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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9.28Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Rochester-2.360.0%1st Place
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8.76Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.49Villanova University-2.240.0%1st Place
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12.98Monmouth University-2.800.0%1st Place
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14.82U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Pittsburgh-3.750.0%1st Place
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14.42Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 19.9% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 19.3% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 19.1% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| Kristen McDonough | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Gould | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Randall | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 22.1% | 32.2% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 23.9% | 30.2% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.