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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.70+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.01+3.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+0.53vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.83-2.15vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.92-0.89vs Predicted
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8American University0.59+4.43vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-0.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy1.22+0.95vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.07+0.25vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.29-1.20vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.45-2.78vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.61-4.27vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.60-2.35vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.32-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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5.8University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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6.11Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.43American University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.5Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.25Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.8William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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10.22Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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9.73Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.65Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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14.49William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Stagg | 16.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 14.6% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 19.2% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leigh Cramer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 14.2% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Natalie Ross | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.3% |
| Scott Guinn | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 15.0% |
| Efe Brock | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.