Race 11B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mats Braaten 25.2% 23.1% 19.6% 14.3% 8.3% 6.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 21.7% 19.5% 17.9% 15.7% 11.6% 6.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Kuzloski 26.3% 24.6% 19.8% 15.2% 8.5% 2.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 4.1% 4.8% 6.1% 8.3% 10.8% 13.4% 14.5% 12.1% 10.0% 8.4% 3.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 4.4% 4.2% 6.5% 9.3% 12.2% 13.7% 13.1% 12.3% 9.8% 7.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kristen McDonough 2.6% 2.0% 3.1% 4.5% 7.7% 10.2% 9.6% 13.0% 10.7% 10.6% 10.5% 6.3% 6.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Adams 3.1% 3.5% 5.3% 4.5% 7.3% 10.0% 9.9% 13.2% 12.7% 10.2% 9.5% 6.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Advik Eswaran 7.7% 10.4% 10.9% 14.2% 16.6% 12.7% 11.0% 8.1% 4.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Faranetta 1.3% 2.7% 3.7% 2.7% 5.4% 6.3% 8.8% 10.6% 12.6% 12.5% 12.8% 8.6% 6.1% 4.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Nicholas Gould 1.1% 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 4.1% 5.7% 7.8% 8.7% 13.0% 14.3% 15.8% 10.5% 7.2% 1.5%
Isabella Hughes 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 5.8% 6.0% 9.2% 11.8% 16.9% 14.2% 14.6% 6.4%
George Wood 0.5% 2.0% 2.2% 3.0% 2.6% 5.3% 7.2% 7.3% 9.7% 12.7% 11.5% 11.9% 11.5% 8.1% 2.9% 1.6%
Sam Randall 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 2.3% 2.5% 5.0% 6.1% 5.9% 9.0% 11.6% 11.8% 14.8% 10.1% 11.3% 5.0% 1.6%
Ella Dieterlen 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.4% 6.7% 8.0% 17.0% 21.6% 31.6%
Andrew Shaz 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 6.7% 9.1% 14.6% 22.3% 33.8%
Gianmarco Costa 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 4.0% 4.8% 7.4% 11.6% 16.4% 23.3% 23.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.