← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University2.01+4.00vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.10+0.61vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.94+5.39vs Predicted
-
4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+5.17vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University0.97+3.02vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.66-2.67vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.13+0.44vs Predicted
-
8Embry-Riddle University-0.53+5.33vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College0.48+0.79vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.09vs Predicted
-
11Duke University-0.18+1.40vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.79-3.07vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-0.06vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina-0.20-1.94vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-0.52-1.58vs Predicted
-
16The Citadel0.20-5.00vs Predicted
-
17Rollins College0.37-6.64vs Predicted
-
18University of South Carolina-0.73-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.0North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
2.61College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
-
8.39Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
9.17Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
-
8.02Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
3.33University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
7.44University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
-
13.33Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
-
9.79Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
-
8.91Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
-
12.4Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
8.93Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
-
12.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.06University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
-
13.42University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.0The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.36Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.91University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 12.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 31.1% | 26.0% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.1% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| Carter Morin | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 17.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.