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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.49vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+0.61vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.37+7.55vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+8.14vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.01-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13+1.46vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+3.83vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.79+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.52+4.41vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.01vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.48-1.08vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.94-3.54vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-0.07vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.97-6.18vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-5.86vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.20-3.65vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.53-3.46vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-0.73-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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2.61College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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10.55Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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12.14Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.79North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.46University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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10.83The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.63Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.99Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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9.92Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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8.46Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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12.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.82Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.14Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.35University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.54Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.92University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 20.6% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 30.3% | 27.2% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Adam Larson | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Carter Morin | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Matthew King | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 18.8% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.