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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.63vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.97+6.14vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66-0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.52+8.19vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.20+4.82vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.13-0.64vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+1.20vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.73+4.13vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.60+2.60vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.94-3.62vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.79-4.50vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.48-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-2.03vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.18-3.78vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-7.70vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-0.53-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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8.14Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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4.88North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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13.19University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.82The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.7Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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10.2Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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14.13University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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13.6University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.38Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.5Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.5Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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12.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.22Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.24Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 32.9% | 24.3% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.4% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 15.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 23.3% |
| May Proctor | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 18.9% |
| Matthew King | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Carter Morin | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.