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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+4.00vs Predicted
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2Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+7.52vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+5.39vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.52+9.34vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13+1.54vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.48+2.89vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.10-5.47vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+1.30vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.21+1.21vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.53+2.62vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.89vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.18-0.79vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-1.09vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.73-0.86vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.20-4.99vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.79-8.06vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.66-14.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.52Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.39Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.08Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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9.89Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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2.53College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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10.3Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.21University of North Carolina0.210.0%1st Place
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13.62Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.11Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.21Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.91University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.14University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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11.01The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.94Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.27University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Matthew King | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Carter Morin | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 34.9% | 24.5% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Larson | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 19.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 24.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 21.9% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.