← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.94+7.46vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.10+0.64vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University2.01+1.96vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University0.97+4.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.66-1.67vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.13+1.58vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.79+1.78vs Predicted
-
8Duke University-0.18+4.31vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College0.37+1.29vs Predicted
-
10University of Central Florida-0.52+3.65vs Predicted
-
11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.03vs Predicted
-
12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-2.38vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College0.48-3.19vs Predicted
-
14University of South Carolina-0.73-0.12vs Predicted
-
15Embry-Riddle University-0.53-1.51vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina0.21-4.98vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-3.66vs Predicted
-
18The Citadel0.20-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.46Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
2.64College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
-
4.96North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.06Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
3.33University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
7.58University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.78Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
-
12.31Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.29Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.65University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
8.97Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
-
9.62Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.81Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
-
13.88University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
-
13.49Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
-
11.02University of North Carolina0.210.0%1st Place
-
13.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
-
10.78The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 30.5% | 26.2% | 18.8% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.7% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Carter Morin | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 21.8% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 18.3% |
| Daniel Larson | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.